Choosing Our Future
Phase II of the Futures Project
Saturday, November 5, 2011
Fifteenth Annual Water Assembly
UNM Dane Smith Hall
Link
to 15th Annual Assembly
Announcement (0.1
MB)
Link
to 15th Annual Assembly
Agenda Handout (0.2
MB)
Background:
During Phase I of
the Futures Project in 2009
and 2010, an interdisciplinary
team of experts developed
a scenario called "The
Story," picturing a
possible year 2025 future
for the Middle Rio Grande
region, Sandoval, Bernalillo,
and Valencia Counties. The
team members also provided
brief technical justifications
in their respective fields
of expertise.
In creating
The Story, the expert team
was asked to assume there
would be no new policy changes
after 2010. The
Story was presented at the
Fourteenth Annual Water Assembly
back in June 2010. This
Fifteenth Assembly starts
Phase II of the Futures
Project, which seeks to
have diverse community members
and leaders create four
alternative 2025 scenarios,
each scenario allowing for
policy changes after 2010.
Link
to The Story (abridged one-page version) (0.1
MB)
Link
to The Story (full three-page
version) (0.2
MB)
Link
to The Story (technical
backup papers) (0.4
MB)
8:00 Registration
and Continental Breakfast
link
to introductory slides
(0.4
MB)
link
to agenda slides
(0.4
MB)
9:00 Welcome and Introduction
Kevin Bean, Water Assembly President
link
to audio
(4.2
MB)
9:05 Background - The Futures Project
- Purpose, Status and Plans
John
Brown, Water Assembly Treasurer
link
to prepared text
(0.1
MB)
link
to audio
(9.5
MB)
9:20 Scenarios and Scenario Planning -
The Concept
Jack
Jekowski, Scenario Planner
link
to slides
(0.4
MB)
link
to audio
(37.2
MB)
9:50 Futures Project Scenarios - Approach
for the Day
Lucy
Moore, Lead Facilitator
link
to axis assumptions, cause/effect
areas
(0.1
MB)
link
to audio
(21.9 MB)
10:20 Break - Continental Breakfast Left Overs
10:30 Four Breakout Groups to Develop Scenarios:
link
to axis assumptions, cause/effect
areas
(0.1
MB)
Group
1 - Cheap Water, Cheap Energy Scenario
Victoria
Garcia, Facilitator
Group
2 - Cheap Water, Expensive Energy Scenario
Yolynda
Begay, Facilitator
Group
3 - Expensive Water,
Expensive Energy Scenario
Victoria
Garcia, Facilitator
Group
4 - Expensive Water, Cheap
Energy Scenario
Mary
Davis Hamlin, Facilitator
12:30 Election of Water Assembly Directors
(during lunch)
link
to advocacy group summary
slide (0.1
MB)
link
to election results (0.1
MB)
1:30 30 Minute Plenary Review of Each
Scenario (report/discussion)
Jack
Jekowski and Lucy Moore
CAUTION:
The "facilitator
notes" below contain
only the raw source data
from which the Water Assembly
will be working to derive
coherent scenario descriptions..
Group
1's Scenario - Water Cheap;
Energy Cheap
"Miracle
Occurs; What? Me Worry?"
link
to scenario attributes -
facilitator notes
(0.1
MB)
Group
2's Scenario - Water Cheap;
Energy Expensive
"Hobbit
Land"
link
to scenario attributes -
facilitator notes (0.1
MB)
Group
3's Scenario - Water Expensive;
Energy Expensive
"Coming
to Our Sesnses"
link
to scenario attributes -
facilitator notes
(0.1
MB)
Group
4's Scenario - Water Expensive;
Energy Cheap
"Energized
but Thirsty"
link
to scenario attributes -
facilitator notes (0.1
MB)
link
to plenary session summary
- facilitator notes (0.1
MB)
link
to plenary session audio
(99.5
MB)
3:30 Wrap Up and Next Steps
Lucy
Moore, Facilitator
link
to the full summary -all
five facilitator notes
(0.2
MB)
4:00 Adjourn
15th Annual Water Assembly
4:05 New
Board of Directors Meeting
Personal
Introductions, Schedule
Next Meeting
4:15 Adjourn
Board of Directors Meeting
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